Morehead State
Men - Women
2012 - 2013 - 2014
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
1,600  Mackenzie Butler FR 22:10
1,628  Lauren Tarovisky SO 22:12
1,914  Skyler Green FR 22:29
1,936  Karina Manz FR 22:31
2,160  Krystal Williams JR 22:46
2,199  Hannah Bailey FR 22:48
2,384  Haley Mullins FR 23:01
2,432  Erica Parks SO 23:05
2,449  Hannah Mullins FR 23:06
2,716  Alyssa Shifflett FR 23:24
2,795  Alex Morris SO 23:31
2,931  Parker Winters SR 23:44
3,085  Jasmyn Andrews SO 24:01
3,163  Taylor Montgomery FR 24:13
3,216  Katie Bamberger FR 24:22
3,249  Lindsay Norris SR 24:27
National Rank #235 of 340
Southeast Region Rank #33 of 49
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 35th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.0%
Top 20 in Regional 0.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Mackenzie Butler Lauren Tarovisky Skyler Green Karina Manz Krystal Williams Hannah Bailey Haley Mullins Erica Parks Hannah Mullins Alyssa Shifflett Alex Morris
Greater Louisville Classic (Gold) 10/05 1292 22:00 22:12 22:56 22:47 23:22 22:52
Greater Louisville Classic (Blue) 10/05 1390 23:26 23:09 23:15 23:32
Blue Ridge Open 10/18 1269 21:51 22:17 22:18 22:49 22:51 22:58 22:17 23:09 23:35
Ohio Valley Championship 11/02 1306 23:40 22:05 22:32 23:04 22:40 23:22 23:13 23:21
Southeast Region Championships 11/15 1259 22:08 22:16 22:10 22:04 22:40 22:25 23:11





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 33.4 990 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.1 1.8 3.0 4.2 7.4



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Mackenzie Butler 174.0
Lauren Tarovisky 177.1
Skyler Green 208.0
Karina Manz 210.2
Krystal Williams 231.6
Hannah Bailey 233.9
Haley Mullins 248.4




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 0.0% 0.0 23
24 0.1% 0.1 24
25 0.3% 0.3 25
26 0.7% 0.7 26
27 1.1% 1.1 27
28 1.8% 1.8 28
29 3.0% 3.0 29
30 4.2% 4.2 30
31 7.4% 7.4 31
32 9.9% 9.9 32
33 14.9% 14.9 33
34 19.2% 19.2 34
35 22.5% 22.5 35
36 10.1% 10.1 36
37 3.0% 3.0 37
38 1.3% 1.3 38
39 0.4% 0.4 39
40 0.1% 0.1 40
41 0.0% 0.0 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
48 48
49 49
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0